Corporate media continues to spread misinformation

Corporate media continues to spread misinformation

Despite what corporate media may tell you, Super Tuesday was not the death of a revolution.

Super Tuesday is shorthand for a huge night in politics – it is the night where the most states (11 in total) have their caucuses and primaries. Placed on the first Tuesday in March, it is the poli-sci major’s Super Bowl.

Hillary Clinton did, in fact, walk away with more states under her belt. Out of the 11, she came out on top in seven of them. This seems like a landslide, but the thing to understand about this first round of states is that the Sanders campaign knew this was going to happen. These are red states. Clinton walked away with red states, for obvious reasons. She is a capitalist, a corporatist and runs on establishment politics. These states were going for Hillary regardless. But the important thing to remember is that red states do not matter. In the general election, it will not matter whether it was Hillary or Bernie who took Alabama – the Republican candidate will win.

So given that, and understanding that the blue states are the ones that would really make the general election, here’s a rundown – each state, who won, and whether they are red or blue.

  • Alaska
    • Hillary won 78% to 19%
    • Red State
  • Arkansas
    • Hillary won 66% to 30%
    • Red State
  • Colorado
    • Bernie won 59% to 40%
    • Blue State
  • Georgia
    • Hillary won 71% to 28%
    • Red State
  • Massachusetts
    • Hillary won 50% to 49% (Very, very close)
    • Blue State
  • Minnesota
    • Bernie won 62% to 38%
    • Blue State
  • Oklahoma
    • Bernie won 52% to 42%
    • Red State
  • Tennessee
    • Hillary won 66% to 32%
    • Red State
  • Texas
    • Hillary won 65% to 33%
    • Red State
  • Vermont
    • Bernie won 86% to 14%
    • Blue State
  • Virginia
    • Hillary won 64% to 35%
    • Blue State

 

Out of the states that Clinton won, five out of the seven were red states. That means she could only secure a win in two of the five blue states. Not only that, but in one of the blue states – Massachusetts – the delegate count was so close that it could be called a virtual tie. This exemplifies what numerous polls have already proved to be true – that matched up against a republican candidate for the general election, Bernie performs much better – and would be the prime candidate to send up against what is now a sad reality – a Donald Trump nomination.

And that prediction does not come out of thin air, it instead comes from looking at the polls matching up possible Republican candidates and their Democratic counterparts. “Real Clear Politics” is a site that runs all polls from five credible news organizations like CNN and USA Today, and averages them out to find out – according to the most recent polls – who would win if we had the general election today with each matchup.

Here is the alarming part – in a match between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, Clinton comes out on top. However, she only takes it by about 3 points, which is within the margin of error. This means that on average, we have no idea if Clinton would end up winning the election – and she could very well lose it. Even one of the polls that they averaged in done by USA Today shows Trump winning by two points. The key here is unreliability.

Now, the more important part is this. As hopeless as it seems, there is a chance that Trump will not receive the nomination. And with every other candidate Hillary is put up against, she loses by large margins. Every single candidate, every single poll. To Cruz she loses by 1.5, to Rubio she loses by 5. To the unlikely Kasich she loses by a whopping 7.4. Hillary is not the Democratic party’s most electable candidate.

But the bottom line is that Trump is the probable Republican candidate. So let’s match up Sanders v. Trump, a pairing that would result in perhaps the most interesting and entertaining debates in the history of the United States. In a general election, Sanders beats Trump by an astounding eight points. Not only that, but there was just one outlier throwing that number off – USA Today did predict that Trump would win by one point. But due to the rest of the polls it can be assumed that it was just that – an outlier. According to CNN Sanders would take it by twelve points, according to FOX it would even reach fifteen. Those kind of margins are beyond impressive, and not only that, but on average Sanders beats every single possible Republican candidate by more than three points except for Kasich – which he wins by a close margin of .5 points. Luckily that is the least likely situation.

So given these match-ups and the fact that Super Tuesday was not the train wreck we first might have thought, the mainstream media will try and tell you that Bernie is down for the count, but last night was a big win for him. It could have been better, but it could have been much, much worse – and the fight is far from over. Clinton is ahead by very little in total delegate count, and next Tuesday when another several states are up for grabs, Bernie can expect wins in a majority of them.

I do wish there had been less people coming up to me today and asking how it feels to lose the nomination, and more people expressing complete disgust that the American people have spoken, and a majority of the ones in the Republican party are okay with electing Donald Trump.

But that is besides the point, the main thing is that the political revolution is not out of the game. Colorado was a huge win. Minnesota was a big victory, too. Hillary is pulling her weight but do not be resigned to a Clinton nomination (and consequently a possible Trump presidency) quite yet.

So to answer all the “how did you feel about Super Tuesday” questions: viva la revolucion! 

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